Your official UFC 229 - Khabib x McGregor - BETS

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by lefontes, Oct 1, 2018.

  1. lefontes

    lefontes Green Belt

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    Your official UFC 229 - Khabib x McGregor - BETS

    Here we go!
     
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  2. Sadistics

    Sadistics Purple Belt

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    McGregor +173 1.33u (playing the line, will be on Khabib)
    McGregor NSC +135 .33u

    Reyes -155 1u
    Reyes SUB +1450 .2u

    Volkov -171 4u
    Volkov/Lewis O1.5 -160 1u
    Lewis NSC -121 1.4u

    Herrig -119 .66u
    Herrig DEC +120 .33u

    Formiga +150 .66u
    Formiga NSC -148 2.5u
    Formiga SUB +585 .2u

    Luque -320 1u
    Luque/Turner U1.5 -115 3.33u
    Luque/Turner DNGTD -285 1u
    Luque ITD -206 .66u

    Evinger +149 3u
    Evinger SUB +1615 .13u

    Kunitskaya -164 6u
    Kunitskaya/Lansberg O2.5 -285 3u
    Kunitskaya NSC -119 2.45u
    Kunitskaya -3.5 +155 .33u
    Kunitskaya SUB +945 .2u

    Patrick -222 1u
    Patrick DEC -122 .8u
    Patrick -3.5 +160 .33u

    Maynard DEC +325 .4u

    Martin +193 1u
    Martin NSC -157 1.5u


    Way too big on the Volkov and Kunitskaya fights, but I'm likely letting it all ride. May look to freeroll some of the Kunitskaya over if line movement co-operates.
     
  3. Monster Meat

    Monster Meat Green Belt

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    $40/$100
    Chicago -162 win
    Jacksonville -375 win
    New England -295 win
    Tony Ferguson -335

    $20/$110
    No extras Toronto/Baltimore win
    No extras Cinci/Mil win
    Markos/Rodriguez to dec -360 win
    New Orleans +12.5 -385 win
    Tony Ferguson -305
    Conor Mcgregor by KO +175
     
  4. Larthus

    Larthus Orange Belt

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    $350 Khabib ML -155

    looking to up my play depending on if he moves closer to evens
     
  5. maxim814

    maxim814 Yellow Belt

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    Herrig to win
    $29.06 to win $50.19

    Volkov/Kunitskaya to win
    $52.10 to win $128.65

    Volkov/Ferguson to win
    $50 to win $101.02

    McGregor to win in RD1
    $6.70 to win $36.85

    McGregor to win by KO/TKO/DQ in RD2
    $4.71 to win $44.74

    McGregor to win ITD
    $18.52 to win $50
     
  6. Larthus

    Larthus Orange Belt

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    $400 Khabib / Conor Over 2.5 rounds
     
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  7. Bestonian

    Bestonian Can't be assed with grammar

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    100€
    Volkov 1.57

    75€ (parlay)
    Khabib 1.58
    Tony Fergusson 1.28
    Fedor 1.36

    15€ (parlay)
    Khabib 1.58
    Evinger 2.40
    Anthony Pettis by Submission 12.0

    15€ (parlay)
    Khabib 1.58
    Ladd 1.57
    Anthony Pettys by Submission 12.0

    20€ (parlay)
    McGregor vs Khabib over 2.5 2.07
    Volkov 1.57
    Patrick 1.37
    LaFlare 1.68
    Lentz 1.40
    Luque 1.11

    And about 10x 10€ hail mary insane parlays. I'm a degenerate, not a systematic gambler, obviously.

    edit: as for the most hail maries I'm really milking the following: Pettis by sub at 12.0, T-Ferg by KO at 6.50 and Ladd by sub at 6.00.

    /e2: kunitskaya is in half of my bets as well and laflare is present as well in most.
     
    Last edited: Oct 5, 2018
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  8. MT6ix

    MT6ix Blue Belt

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    1.5u Alexander Volkov ML @ -152
    1u Yana Kunitskaya ML @ -180
    1u Felice Herrig ML @ -125

    I haven't been betting mma lately because I haven't had time to watch tape until this card. Been busy flipping Canadian marijuana stocks for a fair sized profit in a very short period of time before Canada's legalization date.
     
    Last edited: Oct 6, 2018
  9. Ryan Kelly

    Ryan Kelly Orange Belt

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    Martin +155 1.2u
    Maynard +195 0.7u
    Kunitskaya -200 2u
    Evinger +150 1u
    S Pettis -145 1.5u
    Herrig -135 1.3
    Volkov -170 2.7u
    OSP/Reyes O1.5 +135 1u
    A Pettis +290 0.5u
    A Pettis NSC +360 0.5u
    Conor +145 1.5u (really hate this one but I’m a fan boi)
    Also have a RR w Volkov, Kunitskaya and Luque ITD. 0.5u per leg.

    Good luck fellas!
     
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  10. LiquidNuke

    LiquidNuke Orange Belt

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    I see a lot of people on Kunitskaya, in fact almost everyone...

    Any of you guys really feeling she gets it done by stoppage, or is this going to be a closer, scrappy affair?
     
  11. zer0cool

    zer0cool Orange Belt

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    McGregor, Evinger, Volkov, Lentz: $100 to win $1153
    McGregor, Evinger, Volkov, Lentz, Ferg, LaFlare: $20 to win $527
    Evinger, Volkov, Lentz, Ferg, LaFlare: $10 to win $110
    Khabib, Volkov, Lentz, Evinger, Ferguson: $20 to win $209
    McGregor, Lentz, Ferguson, Volkov: $50 to win $281
    McGregor, Nate, Liddell: $50 to win $834
     
    Last edited: Oct 5, 2018
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  12. Daze

    Daze I love Luke Skyler Rockhold with all my heart Banned

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    and soul.
    3 units OSP to win +207
    2 units Formiga wins inside distance +450
    1 unit McGregor wins via 1st round KO/TKO +500
    1 unit Nurmagomedov to win +100 (bet with friend :D)
    2.5 units Conor McGregor to win +200 (Unibet promotion)
    1.5 units Nurmagomedov wins via KO/TKO/DQ +350
    0.5 units Ferguson vs Pettis ends in draw +6600
     
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  13. Sadistics

    Sadistics Purple Belt

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    McGregor +173 1.33u
    McGregor NSC +135 .33u
    Nurmagomedov wins, lands most TDs, and lands most sig strikes +138 .8u

    Pettis RD1 +1400 .2u

    Reyes -155 1u
    Reyes SUB +1450 .2u

    Volkov -171 4u
    Volkov/Lewis O1.5 -160 1u
    Lewis NSC -121 1.4u

    Herrig -114 2u
    Herrig DEC +120 .33u

    Formiga +150 .66u
    Formiga NSC -148 2.5u
    Formiga SUB +585 .2u

    Luque -320 1u
    Luque/Turner U1.5 -115 3.33u
    Luque/Turner DNGTD -285 1u
    Luque ITD -206 .66u

    Evinger +151 6u
    Evinger SUB +1615 .13u
    Evinger RD3 +2500 .1u
    Ladd SUB +1210 .33u

    Kunitskaya -164 6u
    Kunitskaya/Lansberg O2.5 -285 3u
    Kunitskaya NSC -119 2.45u
    Kunitskaya -3.5 +155 .33u
    Kunitskaya SUB +945 .2u
    Kunitskaya RD3 +1800 .2u

    Patrick -228 2.5u
    Patrick DEC -122 .8u
    Patrick -3.5 +160 .33u

    Maynard DEC +325 .4u

    Martin +222 .66u
    Martin NSC -157 1.5u

    Would've gone big on a few of these if not for limits.
    Buffer to wear a bow tie -152 $150
    Bottle of proper twelve at post fight presser -180 $90
    McGregor/Khabib do not touch gloves +200 $50
    Dana White to say literally at presser u4.5 -120 $30
    McGregor does billionaire strut -220 $55
    McGregor/Khabib Introduction over 2:49 $60


    Some may say I bet too many fights/lines or I risk too much, the way I see it, if a line has value it deserves a bet. That said I do need to be more disciplined.

    Regretting how big I am on a Derrick Lewis fight as well as the over in the Lina/Yana fight, other than that I'm quite happy with the bets. May add to Formiga if I can get more +150.
     
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  14. BarArm

    BarArm White Belt

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    1u Pettis +300
    2u McGregor +160
    small OSP +210
     
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  15. Captain Crunch28

    Captain Crunch28 Blue Belt

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    I got $1,100 on Conor . About half at +161 and half at +165
     
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  16. raketmannen

    raketmannen Brown Belt

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    1.6u McGregor ml +157

    2.5u Ferguson/Pettis FDGTD -102
    0.15u Pettis sub +1100

    2u on Reyes ml -195 (1u in a Parlay with Poirier)
    0.75u Reyes/OSP u1.5 -151
    0.75u Reyes/OSP u1 +100

    3.7u Volkov ml -172
    1u Volkov KO/TKO +240
    0.15u Volkov r3 +1300

    2u Herrig ml -120
    0.15u Herrig sub +850
    0.4u Herrig/KH u2.5 +360

    2.1u Formiga ml +134
    0.25u Formiga sub +600

    0.26u Turner itd +900
    0.8u Turner/Luque u1.5 -142

    4u Evinger +150
    1.5u Ladd -120
    0.25u Evinger itd +850
    0.25u Evinger sub +1600

    1.5u Yana ml -138
    1u on Yana + Barberena parlay +109
    0.15u Yana r3 +1700

    0.15u Patrick sub +800

    1.6u Martin ml +173
     
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  17. Naught2Sixty

    Naught2Sixty Brown Belt

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    J. Formiga +120 2u
    J. Formiga +150 .5u
    J. Formiga Sub +585 .25u

    T. Martin +130 2u
    T. Martin ITD +516 .1u

    M. Waterson SUB +1050 .15u
    A. Pettis SUB +1175 .15u

    Not much action here just trying to sit back and enjoy.
    <Fedor23>
     
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  18. zeckdo

    zeckdo Blue Belt

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    how many of you got FUCKED by prices this card? put my action in wayyy too early on almost every play.

    .5u to win .6u on Laflare -135, it's -130 now.
    .5u to win .875u, on OSP +175, it's +220 now.
    1.75u to win 1u on Volkov -175, it's -150 now.
    1u to win 1.35u on McGregor +135 , it's +165 now.
    2u to win .6u on no glove touch -303.

    almost 1u total in all the price differentials. already going into the night feeling bummed about that, but still feel confident in my plays.

    top to bottom I think we've had better card recently, UFC 225 and 226 stand out as better, but this one still feels very special. hope everyone makes some change and hope we get an amazing card. Conor Bless.
     
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  19. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    1.75u McGregor +165
    0.25u Nurmagomedov DEC +465

    0.5u St. Preux NSC +230
    0.1u Reyes SUB +1450

    0.5u A.Pettis NSC +333
    0.2u A.Pettis SUB +1235
    0.1u Ferguson RD3 +1000

    0.025u Volkov SUB +2000

    1u Herrig +100
    0.05u Herrig SUB +1125

    1u Formiga +150
    0.15u Formiga SUB +585

    0.15u Turner NSC +875

    0.5u Evinger NSC +295

    1u Kunitskaya NSC -125

    0.2u Formiga/Herrig/McGregor +1140
    0.1u Laflare/Evinger/Volkov/McGregor +1861
    0.05u Formiga DEC/Volkov ITD/Ferguson DEC +4531
    0.025u Ferguson RD3/McGregor RD2 +8150
     
  20. KoreanZombieFan

    KoreanZombieFan Yellow Belt

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    khabib.PNG



    Khabib by points. Betting $82 to win $451. Odds @$5.50
    Khabib to complete more then 5 takedowns. Betting $150 to win $300.20 Odds @1.90
    Will the fight go to distance (5 rounds) Betting $60 to win $255. Odds @ $4.25
    Picture below.
     

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