The Ponies Thread (part 2)

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Sharkey, Sep 6, 2018.

  1. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Thank you.
     
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  2. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    I'll probably be playing the #4 to W/P here in race 3 as the top ranked horse and with the will pays saying it should be 3rd or even 4th choice by post time.
     
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  3. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Well, this stinks. My stream for Finger Lakes has frozen and they're going to post any second now. I did play the #4, though. Just can't watch it.
     
  4. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Oh great. Stream started working again just long enough to see my bet get beat for the win by a length and get beat for place by a neck.
     
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  5. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Going with the #8 horse to W/P in race 4. Have it as the top ranked horse, and is also the outside speed horse who, as long as it gets out of the gates okay, should get a nice bully trip by crossing over in front of the whole field and kicking dirt in their faces. From there it will be a case of catch me if you can.
     
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  6. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Hell yeah. The #1 won race 6 at 9/2 and with the LET pattern going in.

    LET goes 2 for 2 today for me. Love that pattern I must say.
     
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  7. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Not sure I can make a play in race 7. I was really only interested in two horses, the #1 and to a lesser extent the #5. But not at 1/1 and 2/1 respectively.
     
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  8. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Very likely to go across the board with the #9 horse in race 8. Is top 3 now with the scratches, and is top 3 in many of the categories (LP, SP, MP, EL) including having the best ELD in the race, and a decent enough NF. 20/1 currently, so it's worth the shot.
     
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  9. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Gonna try a #4,#5,#6 exacta box in race 9 to end the day.
     
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  10. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    @t6p ,@BluntTrauma21

    T was kind enough to do the tomorrow's first race of the contest for us already, Blunt, as you probably saw in the PMs, and here's the other two.

    Remington Park for Wed, Oct 10th;

    ==========

    Race 4 (8f-Dirt) (6:31);


    #7 EP - 78.0, LP - 74.0, SP - 76.0, TT - 69.0, MP - 74.5, EL - 77.5, DP - 75.0, ELD - 96.0, SF - 81.0, BT - 74.5, AC - 108.5, PP - 113.1, NF - 80.2, AVG - 82.9

    #4 EP - 79.5, LP - 78.0, SP - 78.8, TT - 70.0, MP - 77.5, EL - 80.0, DP - 78.4, ELD - 98.5, SF - 68.0, BT - 72.0, AC - 108.2, PP - 109.1, NF - 69.8, AVG - 82.1

    #3 EP - 75.5, LP - 87.0, SP - 81.3, TT - 74.0, MP - 81.0, EL - 81.5, DP - 84.1, ELD - 88.5, SF - 62.5, BT - 72.5, AC - 108.2, PP - 99.8, NF - 58.5, AVG - 81.1

    #1 EP - 77.5, LP - 70.0, SP - 73.8, TT - 72.0, MP - 73.0, EL - 74.5, DP - 71.9, ELD - 92.5, SF - 71.0, BT - 70.0, AC - 108.3, PP - 101.4, NF - 89.4, AVG - 80.4

    #6 EP - 75.0, LP - 84.0, SP - 79.5, TT - 73.0, MP - 79.0, EL - 80.0, DP - 81.8, ELD - 91.0, SF - 61.5, BT - 74.5, AC - 108.6, PP - 102.6, NF - 53.0, AVG - 80.3

    #2 EP - 64.5, LP - 84.0, SP - 74.3, TT - 74.0, MP - 74.0, EL - 74.5, DP - 79.1, ELD - 80.5, SF - 69.5, BT - 71.0, AC - 108.6, PP - 107.8, NF - 80.2, AVG - 80.2

    #9 EP - 69.0, LP - 78.0, SP - 73.5, TT - 75.0, MP - 73.5, EL - 73.5, DP - 75.8, ELD - 91.0, SF - 76.5, BT - 65.5, AC - 106.6, PP - 101.2, NF - 75.2, AVG - 79.6

    #8 EP - 81.5, LP - 61.0, SP - 71.3, TT - 66.0, MP - 69.0, EL - 73.5, DP - 66.1, ELD - 79.5, SF - 83.0, BT - 63.5, AC - 105.9, PP - 100.9, NF - 76.2, AVG - 76.7

    #5 EP - 72.0, LP - 60.0, SP - 66.0, TT - 65.0, MP - 63.5, EL - 68.5, DP - 63.0, ELD - 88.0, SF - 72.0, BT - 60.5, AC - 106.2, PP - 99.1, NF - 78.6, AVG - 74.0

    ==========

    Race 9 (8.3f-Dirt) (8:45);


    #8 EP - 80.0, LP - 83.0, SP - 81.5, TT - 71.0, MP - 80.5, EL - 82.5, DP - 82.3, ELD - 97.0, SF - 70.0, BT - 78.0, AC - 109.6, PP - 105.2, NF - 88.9, AVG - 85.3

    #10 EP - 74.0, LP - 94.0, SP - 84.0, TT - 69.0, MP - 82.5, EL - 85.5, DP - 89.0, ELD - 80.0, SF - 84.0, BT - 77.0, AC - 107.6, PP - 105.5, NF - 71.4, AVG - 84.9

    #2 EP - 74.5, LP - 84.0, SP - 79.3, TT - 70.0, MP - 78.0, EL - 80.5, DP - 81.6, ELD - 90.5, SF - 74.0, BT - 74.5, AC - 109.1, PP - 110.9, NF - 89.2, AVG - 84.3

    #5 EP - 71.0, LP - 77.0, SP - 74.0, TT - 69.0, MP - 72.5, EL - 75.5, DP - 75.5, ELD - 94.0, SF - 83.5, BT - 71.0, AC - 106.8, PP - 98.9, NF - 72.0, AVG - 80.1 (*** LET, E2, NPT ***)

    #6 EP - 69.5, LP - 82.0, SP - 75.8, TT - 74.0, MP - 75.5, EL - 76.0, DP - 78.9, ELD - 87.5, SF - 70.0, BT - 70.0, AC - 106.1, PP - 104.7, NF - 69.1, AVG - 79.9

    #12 EP - 82.0, LP - 68.0, SP - 75.0, TT - 63.0, MP - 72.0, EL - 78.0, DP - 71.5, ELD - 86.0, SF - 82.0, BT - 64.0, AC - 106.6, PP - 103.9, NF - 77.2, AVG - 79.2

    #4 EP - 74.5, LP - 68.0, SP - 71.3, TT - 68.0, MP - 69.5, EL - 73.0, DP - 69.6, ELD - 93.5, SF - 84.5, BT - 65.0, AC - 106.7, PP - 104.6, NF - 74.4, AVG - 78.7

    #3 EP - 71.0, LP - 66.0, SP - 68.5, TT - 73.0, MP - 68.0, EL - 69.0, DP - 67.3, ELD - 95.0, SF - 71.0, BT - 60.0, AC - 103.6, PP - 102.8, NF - 85.5, AVG - 77.0

    #9 EP - 72.5, LP - 64.0, SP - 68.3, TT - 70.0, MP - 67.0, EL - 69.5, DP - 66.1, ELD - 91.5, SF - 73.0, BT - 62.0, AC - 104.0, PP - 96.0, NF - 73.2, AVG - 75.2

    #11 EP - 66.5, LP - 70.0, SP - 68.3, TT - 64.0, MP - 65.5, EL - 71.0, DP - 69.1, ELD - 96.5, SF - 76.5, BT - 50.0, AC - 102.3, PP - 92.9, NF - 59.8, AVG - 73.3

    #1 EP - 63.0, LP - 55.0, SP - 59.0, TT - 65.0, MP - 56.5, EL - 61.5, DP - 57.0, ELD - 92.0, SF - 67.0, BT - 53.5, AC - 103.0, PP - 89.9, NF - 84.0, AVG - 69.7

    #7 EP - 67.0, LP - 52.0, SP - 59.5, TT - 67.0, MP - 57.5, EL - 61.5, DP - 55.8, ELD - 85.0, SF - 62.0, BT - 53.0, AC - 102.7, PP - 94.4, NF - 78.5, AVG - 68.9

    ==========
     
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  11. Black Paladin

    Black Paladin Funniest Sherdogger, P4P

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    This is actually a great bit of marketing for Remington Park. That track would have NEVER been on my radar but for you guys and your contest.
     
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  12. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    I've never gave it much attention til this contest either, BP. In fact beyond the annual Oklahoma Derby I doubt I've given it any in the past. I know I've never made a bet on it til this contest, and even then I only made a couple. I would like to bet that pace pattern horse that's running in race 9 today, though, considering it's 15/1 on the morning line. The track is okay. It has it's positives and negatives. But it wouldn't be a bad track to play overall for the chalk players out there.

    Hopefully we can get Mahoning Valley on your radar in the next couple of weeks if it's not already. I found it to be a great track to play after last winter. Decent enough takeout rates overall (especially for exotic players). Big fields on average (biggest of any track that has a racing meet on the longer side). A track that stays consistent and fair from day-to-day for the most part, but is also very easy to read/predict when circumstances like weather can affect a bias for it. The best part is that the public betting into the pools there seems to be dumber than bricks. By far the track with the biggest underlays and best overlay opportunities of any track I've bet with even a little bit of regularity. It's a great track to play.
     
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  13. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    Thanks Shark. I went with:

    Race 1: #5 Miss Gracehill
    Race 4: #7 K Street
    Race 9: #5 Da Streekin Mo
     
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  14. BluntTrauma21

    BluntTrauma21 Broner Brody / Pulev Posse

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    Thanks for the first race numbers @t6p and for the other races @Sharkey. Good shit guys, as always. Couple of mensch's, I tell ya.

    Took some longer plays with my picks today. Went 4/3/5 tonight. GL, boys!
     
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  15. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    I'm likely to go the same way for the contest, T. And I'd like to bet that pace pattern horse in the last race as well, although beyond some straight bets on it, I'm not sure how yet. There looks to be three standouts in the race, but the only one that seems all that trustworthy of those three is the #2 horse. So that's what I might do. Key both the #2 and #5 in trifectas, and then use the #8 and #10 for the other spot.
     
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  16. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Looks like @t6p is undefeated so far using this new tool of ours. He's done one race with it and has already found one winner (with the best ELD horse). At a better than expected 6/1 as well.

    Nice job T.
     
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  17. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    Boom, haha. I figured that horse’s price would shorten if anything, glad I was wrong. Let’s keep it going bud.
     
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  18. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    @Sharkey 2 for 2!

    Only 2/1 though, haha.
     
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  19. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    I won’t be able to watch but I threw small bets across the board on the #5 in race 9. A clean sweep would be amazing. GL if you decide to bet that horse too Shark.
     
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  20. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    @t6p and @Sharkey win the day!

    Well, we have to share the top spot with about 5 other people, but we still finished as the top earners on the day with two wins and then a 2nd with a 13/1 shot. Made a few real dollars on that last race too, but not much.
     
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