The Ponies Thread (part 2)

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Sharkey, Sep 6, 2018.

  1. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Haha. I have been a lifelong Red Sox fan, my friend. I wasn't going to say anything to you guys since I have lost a little bit of interest in baseball the last couple years and I really don't care as much anymore. But I thought I'd throw it out there anyways.
     
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  2. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    Fair enough bud. One of my closest friends since we were kids is a Red Sox fan. You and him are the only Sox fans I like, haha. That said, you’re going to lose this series!
     
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  3. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    I'd be okay with the Sox losing if only because I want them to go back being more focused on their scouting & development. You know, that big market team with the small market mindset they used to be for the most part. They pissed me off quite a bit a few years ago when they signed Sandoval and Hanley as free agents regardless of how that worked out (or didn't) for them. That's why I've lost interest in them the past couple years. I don't want to root for a team that tries to "buy" their championships. That's what your Yankees do. But I'm always going to be a Red Sox fan regardless even though I don't care for the way they've conducted business the last couple of years.
     
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  4. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    @BluntTrauma21

    1/2 baby! Let's cash that son of a bitch. :rolleyes:

    @t6p got a little something from that race too with a show payout on his selection.
     
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  5. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Since I started using it for yesterday's contest races this little program I have has gone 4 for 4 when finding the most likely winner.

    For a low price of $79.95 you too can find those 3/5 and 1/2 horses we all dream of cashing on.
     
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  6. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Looks like you've found your favourite Remington horse, T, seeing as this is the 2nd time in a row that one came through with a good race for you at long odds.
     
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  7. ImNotSurpisedDonks!

    ImNotSurpisedDonks! Silver Belt

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    Remember how I asked you what horse Khabib was and what Conor was? Well, Khabib is fallen leaf:



    <Moves><45><Moves>
     
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  8. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    Hahaha, I actually laughed out loud at that one.
     
  9. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    Yes sir!

    Looks like you, me and @BluntTrauma21 are all within about $10 of each other. This is a lot of fun Shark, thanks for suggesting it.
     
    Last edited: Oct 7, 2018
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  10. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Couldn't sleep since I had a nap earlier that mess me up (turkey dinner and all), so decided to cap the whole Finger Lakes card for tomorrow instead save for a lowly maiden race;

    ==========

    Race 1 (10:10);


    #2 EP - 77.0, LP - 75.0, SP - 76.0, TT - 67.0, MP - 74.0, EL - 78.0, DP - 75.5, ELD - 98.0, SF - 77.0, BT - 71.0, AC - 109.5, PP - 107.3, NF - 85.2, AVG - 82.3

    #3 EP - 66.0, LP - 83.0, SP - 74.5, TT - 69.0, MP - 73.0, EL - 76.0, DP - 78.8, ELD - 83.0, SF - 66.0, BT - 62.5, AC - 107.2, PP - 106.6, NF - 72.2, AVG - 78.3

    #5 EP - 52.5, LP - 89.0, SP - 70.8, TT - 72.0, MP - 70.0, EL - 71.5, DP - 79.9, ELD - 63.5, SF - 77.0, BT - 68.0, AC - 109.2, PP - 107.2, NF - 79.2, AVG - 77.7

    #6 EP - 59.0, LP - 75.0, SP - 67.0, TT - 73.0, MP - 66.5, EL - 67.5, DP - 71.0, ELD - 84.0, SF - 85.5, BT - 57.0, AC - 105.4, PP - 100.3, NF - 77.7, AVG - 76.1

    #4 EP - 63.0, LP - 81.0, SP - 72.0, TT - 51.0, MP - 66.0, EL - 78.0, DP - 76.5, ELD - 82.0, SF - 63.0, BT - 60.0, AC - 107.1, PP - 94.9, NF - 87.2, AVG - 75.5

    #7 EP - 73.0, LP - 70.0, SP - 71.5, TT - 59.0, MP - 67.5, EL - 75.5, DP - 70.8, ELD - 97.0, SF - 76.5, BT - 60.0, AC - 105.7, PP - 92.7, NF - 46.5, AVG - 74.3

    #1 EP - 53.0, LP - 83.0, SP - 68.0, TT - 71.0, MP - 67.0, EL - 69.0, DP - 75.5, ELD - 70.0, SF - 56.5, BT - 61.0, AC - 106.7, PP - 93.5, NF - 78.2, AVG - 73.3

    ==========

    Race 2 (10:37);


    #4 EP - 72.0, LP - 80.0, SP - 76.0, TT - 73.0, MP - 75.5, EL - 76.5, DP - 78.0, ELD - 92.0, SF - 66.5, BT - 72.0, AC - 108.8, PP - 112.2, NF - 92.2, AVG - 82.7

    #6 EP - 71.0, LP - 80.0, SP - 75.5, TT - 81.0, MP - 77.0, EL - 74.0, DP - 77.8, ELD - 91.0, SF - 68.5, BT - 75.0, AC - 107.8, PP - 107.7, NF - 83.4, AVG - 82.3

    #5 EP - 66.5, LP - 89.0, SP - 77.8, TT - 72.0, MP - 77.0, EL - 78.5, DP - 83.4, ELD - 77.5, SF - 70.5, BT - 72.5, AC - 107.4, PP - 108.1, NF - 88.2, AVG - 82.2 (***LET***)

    #2 EP - 63.0, LP - 95.0, SP - 79.0, TT - 75.0, MP - 79.0, EL - 79.0, DP - 87.0, ELD - 68.0, SF - 63.0, BT - 75.5, AC - 108.4, PP - 105.6, NF - 86.6, AVG - 81.9

    #3 EP - 70.5, LP - 79.0, SP - 74.8, TT - 72.0, MP - 74.0, EL - 75.5, DP - 76.9, ELD - 91.5, SF - 70.5, BT - 69.5, AC - 107.7, PP - 104.0, NF - 89.2, AVG - 81.2

    #1 EP - 66.5, LP - 82.0, SP - 74.3, TT - 70.0, MP - 73.0, EL - 75.5, DP - 78.1, ELD - 84.5, SF - 66.5, BT - 69.0, AC - 107.0, PP - 97.3, NF - 87.5, AVG - 79.3

    ==========

    Race 3 (11:04);

    #4 EP - 93.0, LP - 91.0, SP - 92.0, TT - 83.0, MP - 94.0, EL - 90.0, DP - 92.5, ELD - 98.0, SF - 84.0, BT - 88.0, AC - 111.7, PP - 117.3, NF - 77.6, AVG - 93.2

    #3 EP - 92.0, LP - 84.0, SP - 88.0, TT - 79.0, MP - 89.0, EL - 87.0, DP - 90.0, ELD - 92.0, SF - 92.0, BT - 85.5, AC - 110.7, PP - 118.2, NF - 91.5, AVG - 92.2

    #2 EP - 86.5, LP - 92.0, SP - 89.3, TT - 78.0, MP - 90.0, EL - 88.5, DP - 87.9, ELD - 94.5, SF - 86.5, BT - 84.0, AC - 111.8, PP - 117.0, NF - 84.0, AVG - 91.5

    #1 EP - 86.5, LP - 90.0, SP - 88.3, TT - 80.0, MP - 89.5, EL - 87.0, DP - 87.4, ELD - 96.5, SF - 85.5, BT - 83.5, AC - 111.3, PP - 113.4, NF - 78.8, AVG - 90.6

    #6 EP - 93.5, LP - 80.0, SP - 86.8, TT - 78.0, MP - 87.5, EL - 86.0, DP - 90.1, ELD - 86.5, SF - 93.5, BT - 81.0, AC - 112.4, PP - 119.6, NF - 80.0, AVG - 90.4

    #5 EP - 72.5, LP - 80.0, SP - 76.3, TT - 82.0, MP - 78.0, EL - 74.5, DP - 74.4, ELD - 92.5, SF - 72.5, BT - 70.0, AC - 107.9, PP - 108.1, NF - 72.2, AVG - 81.6

    ==========

    Race 4 (11:31);


    #8 EP - 90.0, LP - 68.0, SP - 79.0, TT - 77.0, MP - 79.5, EL - 78.5, DP - 84.5, ELD - 78.0, SF - 90.0, BT - 67.0, AC - 107.2, PP - 104.3, NF - 81.4, AVG - 83.4

    #1 EP - 85.5, LP - 70.0, SP - 77.8, TT - 68.0, MP - 76.0, EL - 79.5, DP - 81.6, ELD - 84.5, SF - 85.5, BT - 63.0, AC - 107.6, PP - 106.1, NF - 86.4, AVG - 82.4

    #3 EP - 88.0, LP - 67.0, SP - 77.5, TT - 71.0, MP - 76.5, EL - 78.5, DP - 82.8, ELD - 79.0, SF - 88.0, BT - 65.5, AC - 106.7, PP - 103.6, NF - 85.4, AVG - 82.3

    #4 EP - 75.5, LP - 85.0, SP - 80.3, TT - 68.0, MP - 78.5, EL - 82.0, DP - 77.9, ELD - 90.5, SF - 80.5, BT - 64.0, AC - 106.2, PP - 96.5, NF - 75.4, AVG - 81.6

    #7 EP - 85.0, LP - 73.0, SP - 79.0, TT - 75.0, MP - 79.0, EL - 79.0, DP - 82.0, ELD - 88.0, SF - 63.0, BT - 61.5, AC - 106.6, PP - 100.3, NF - 77.2, AVG - 80.7

    #5 EP - 88.5, LP - 64.0, SP - 76.3, TT - 72.0, MP - 75.5, EL - 77.0, DP - 82.4, ELD - 75.5, SF - 83.5, BT - 60.5, AC - 105.9, PP - 98.2, NF - 80.6, AVG - 80.0

    #2 EP - 82.0, LP - 68.0, SP - 75.0, TT - 65.0, MP - 72.5, EL - 77.5, DP - 78.5, ELD - 86.0, SF - 82.0, BT - 55.5, AC - 105.4, PP - 93.9, NF - 83.6, AVG - 78.8

    #6 EP - 80.5, LP - 71.0, SP - 75.8, TT - 70.0, MP - 74.5, EL - 77.0, DP - 78.1, ELD - 90.5, SF - 75.5, BT - 57.5, AC - 105.5, PP - 87.7, NF - 79.6, AVG - 78.7

    ==========
     
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  11. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    (cont)

    ==========

    Race 6 (12:25);


    #6 EP - 90.5, LP - 79.0, SP - 84.8, TT - 78.0, MP - 85.5, EL - 84.0, DP - 87.6, ELD - 88.5, SF - 92.5, BT - 77.5, AC - 109.9, PP - 115.0, NF - 85.4, AVG - 89.1

    #7 EP - 87.5, LP - 80.0, SP - 83.8, TT - 76.0, MP - 84.0, EL - 83.5, DP - 85.6, ELD - 92.5, SF - 89.5, BT - 75.0, AC - 109.4, PP - 111.9, NF - 85.4, AVG - 88.0

    #1 EP - 85.0, LP - 79.0, SP - 82.0, TT - 73.0, MP - 81.5, EL - 82.5, DP - 83.5, ELD - 94.0, SF - 85.0, BT - 72.0, AC - 108.9, PP - 106.4, NF - 91.6, AVG - 86.5 (***LET***)

    #8 EP - 84.5, LP - 82.0, SP - 83.3, TT - 74.0, MP - 83.0, EL - 83.5, DP - 83.9, ELD - 97.5, SF - 86.0, BT - 71.5, AC - 108.5, PP - 105.2, NF - 75.0, AVG - 86.0

    #2 EP - 87.0, LP - 81.0, SP - 84.0, TT - 77.0, MP - 84.5, EL - 83.5, DP - 85.5, ELD - 94.0, SF - 79.5, BT - 74.5, AC - 108.5, PP - 104.5, NF - 69.0, AVG - 85.6

    #3 EP - 81.5, LP - 82.0, SP - 81.8, TT - 72.0, MP - 81.0, EL - 82.5, DP - 81.6, ELD - 99.5, SF - 78.5, BT - 71.5, AC - 109.0, PP - 108.4, NF - 80.0, AVG - 85.3

    #4 EP - 91.5, LP - 74.0, SP - 82.8, TT - 70.0, MP - 81.5, EL - 84.0, DP - 87.1, ELD - 82.5, SF - 81.0, BT - 69.5, AC - 108.1, PP - 101.7, NF - 77.4, AVG - 83.9

    #5 EP - 84.0, LP - 79.0, SP - 81.5, TT - 79.0, MP - 82.5, EL - 80.5, DP - 82.8, ELD - 95.0, SF - 78.0, BT - 66.0, AC - 107.2, PP - 99.5, NF - 63.4, AVG - 83.0

    9 EP - 84.5, LP - 69.0, SP - 76.8, TT - 72.0, MP - 76.0, EL - 77.5, DP - 80.6, ELD - 84.5, SF - 81.5, BT - 59.5, AC - 104.9, PP - 94.3, NF - 82.4, AVG - 80.3

    ==========

    Race 7 (12:52);


    #1 EP - 97.5, LP - 92.0, SP - 94.8, TT - 82.0, MP - 96.5, EL - 93.0, DP - 96.1, ELD - 94.5, SF - 94.0, BT - 96.0, AC - 116.2, PP - 132.7, NF - 92.0, AVG - 98.3

    #5 EP - 92.5, LP - 96.0, SP - 94.3, TT - 86.0, MP - 97.0, EL - 91.5, DP - 93.4, ELD - 96.5, SF - 87.5, BT - 96.0, AC - 117.8, PP - 132.1, NF - 86.7, AVG - 97.5

    #6 EP - 96.0, LP - 87.0, SP - 91.5, TT - 91.0, MP - 95.5, EL - 87.5, DP - 93.8, ELD - 91.0, SF - 96.5, BT - 94.0, AC - 117.3, PP - 137.3, NF - 74.8, AVG - 96.4

    #3 EP - 98.0, LP - 82.0, SP - 90.0, TT - 81.0, MP - 91.5, EL - 88.5, DP - 94.0, ELD - 84.0, SF - 98.5, BT - 88.0, AC - 114.5, PP - 126.6, NF - 84.4, AVG - 93.9

    #2 EP - 103.0, LP - 72.0, SP - 87.5, TT - 87.0, MP - 90.5, EL - 84.5, DP - 95.3, ELD - 69.0, SF - 92.5, BT - 91.0, AC - 115.8, PP - 129.4, NF - 77.5, AVG - 91.9

    #4 EP - 90.0, LP - 87.0, SP - 88.5, TT - 83.0, MP - 90.5, EL - 86.5, DP - 89.3, ELD - 97.0, SF - 87.5, BT - 86.5, AC - 114.1, PP - 119.2, NF - 73.4, AVG - 91.7

    ==========

    Race 8 (1:19);


    #1A EP - 81.5, LP - 86.0, SP - 83.8, TT - 72.0, MP - 83.0, EL - 84.5, DP - 82.6, ELD - 95.5, SF - 88.0, BT - 75.0, AC - 107.4, PP - 107.1, NF - 84.8, AVG - 87.0

    #8 EP - 78.5, LP - 88.0, SP - 83.3, TT - 74.0, MP - 83.0, EL - 83.5, DP - 80.9, ELD - 90.5, SF - 88.5, BT - 72.0, AC - 106.0, PP - 107.2, NF - 84.0, AVG - 86.1

    #3 EP - 84.5, LP - 79.0, SP - 81.8, TT - 72.0, MP - 81.0, EL - 82.5, DP - 83.1, ELD - 94.5, SF - 88.5, BT - 68.0, AC - 105.3, PP - 99.3, NF - 83.0, AVG - 84.8

    #7 EP - 81.0, LP - 83.0, SP - 82.0, TT - 73.0, MP - 81.5, EL - 82.5, DP - 81.5, ELD - 98.0, SF - 75.0, BT - 67.0, AC - 109.2, PP - 105.7, NF - 74.3, AVG - 84.1

    #2 EP - 83.0, LP - 74.0, SP - 78.5, TT - 75.0, MP - 78.5, EL - 78.5, DP - 80.8, ELD - 91.0, SF - 71.5, BT - 66.0, AC - 106.6, PP - 105.9, NF - 88.2, AVG - 82.9

    #9 EP - 81.5, LP - 81.0, SP - 81.3, TT - 72.0, MP - 80.5, EL - 82.0, DP - 81.4, ELD - 99.5, SF - 64.0, BT - 66.0, AC - 104.9, PP - 98.3, NF - 82.2, AVG - 82.7

    #10 EP - 91.0, LP - 69.0, SP - 80.0, TT - 73.0, MP - 79.5, EL - 80.5, DP - 85.5, ELD - 78.0, SF - 76.0, BT - 66.0, AC - 105.5, PP - 100.1, NF - 79.4, AVG - 81.8

    #5 EP - 86.0, LP - 71.0, SP - 78.5, TT - 77.0, MP - 79.0, EL - 78.0, DP - 82.3, ELD - 85.0, SF - 79.5, BT - 67.0, AC - 105.6, PP - 102.0, NF - 68.2, AVG - 81.5

    #6 EP - 77.5, LP - 84.0, SP - 80.8, TT - 68.0, MP - 79.0, EL - 82.5, DP - 79.1, ELD - 93.5, SF - 81.0, BT - 63.0, AC - 104.7, PP - 96.0, NF - 69.2, AVG - 81.4

    #4 EP - 86.0, LP - 67.0, SP - 76.5, TT - 71.0, MP - 75.5, EL - 77.5, DP - 81.3, ELD - 81.0, SF - 88.5, BT - 61.5, AC - 104.8, PP - 100.2, NF - 75.4, AVG - 80.5

    #1 EP - 76.5, LP - 75.0, SP - 75.8, TT - 68.0, MP - 74.0, EL - 77.5, DP - 76.1, ELD - 98.5, SF - 67.5, BT - 58.5, AC - 103.3, PP - 96.4, NF - 77.2, AVG - 78.8

    #12 EP - 80.0, LP - 67.0, SP - 73.5, TT - 71.0, MP - 72.5, EL - 74.5, DP - 76.8, ELD - 87.0, SF - 78.0, BT - 57.0, AC - 102.9, PP - 93.5, NF - 79.8, AVG - 78.0

    #11 EP - 87.0, LP - 60.0, SP - 73.5, TT - 67.0, MP - 71.5, EL - 75.5, DP - 80.3, ELD - 73.0, SF - 77.0, BT - 63.0, AC - 103.3, PP - 93.7, NF - 77.2, AVG - 77.1

    ==========

    Race 9 (1:46);


    #4 EP - 77.5, LP - 92.0, SP - 84.8, TT - 88.0, MP - 88.0, EL - 81.5, DP - 88.4, ELD - 85.5, SF - 85.5, BT - 84.0, AC - 113.4, PP - 120.7, NF - 82.4, AVG - 90.1

    #6 EP - 87.0, LP - 80.0, SP - 83.5, TT - 85.0, MP - 86.0, EL - 81.0, DP - 81.8, ELD - 93.0, SF - 76.5, BT - 82.5, AC - 112.5, PP - 117.6, NF - 71.2, AVG - 87.5

    #5 EP - 86.0, LP - 81.0, SP - 83.5, TT - 85.0, MP - 86.0, EL - 81.0, DP - 82.3, ELD - 95.0, SF - 79.5, BT - 74.5, AC - 109.0, PP - 114.0, NF - 59.4, AVG - 85.9

    #3 EP - 76.5, LP - 80.0, SP - 78.3, TT - 74.0, MP - 78.0, EL - 78.5, DP - 79.1, ELD - 96.5, SF - 74.0, BT - 75.5, AC - 111.8, PP - 119.9, NF - 84.0, AVG - 85.1

    #7 EP - 79.5, LP - 74.0, SP - 76.8, TT - 74.0, MP - 76.5, EL - 77.0, DP - 75.4, ELD - 94.5, SF - 79.5, BT - 63.5, AC - 106.4, PP - 103.0, NF - 71.7, AVG - 80.9

    #2 EP - 72.5, LP - 67.0, SP - 69.8, TT - 76.0, MP - 70.0, EL - 69.5, DP - 68.4, ELD - 94.5, SF - 81.0, BT - 75.5, AC - 109.3, PP - 111.6, NF - 70.4, AVG - 79.6

    #1 EP - 77.0, LP - 80.0, SP - 78.5, TT - 77.0, MP - 79.0, EL - 78.0, DP - 79.3, ELD - 97.0, SF - 54.0, BT - 74.5, AC - 105.7, PP - 93.2, NF - 24.2, AVG - 76.7

    ==========
     
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  12. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    I have some early ideas, but I'll figure out if and what to bet tomorrow once I see the tote board (and scratches). Just going to focus on straight win/place bets I do believe. That's the plan anyways.
     
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  13. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    I don't think I can just make a straight bet on a single horse in race 1. The #2 looks by far the most likely winner. But that one is also going to go off short. I may concede that race to the #2 and try to get the #6 horse home 2nd or 3rd in trifectas as that one should go off pretty long. I'm thinking key the #2 on top and then key the #6 in 2nd & 3rd for value with the #3, #5 filling the other spot.
     
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  14. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    The track handicapper picked the #3, so maybe the #2 will be a playable price afterall. It'll be short. But maybe not the odds-on type that I thought it would.
     
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  15. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    I'd certainly take the current 3/1 on this #2 horse if it holds up. Hell, I would take 2/1. It's tops in 8 of the 13 categories that I have with a big edge on average and may not even be the favourite.

    And this is fun. I don't think I've done this for a while now. The last couple of times I bet a bunch of races on a card they were the "bet and forget" variety on days I had to work.
     
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  16. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    On the #2 to W/P. Why not.
     
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  17. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    And of course the biggest longshot in the race at 24/1 takes it down.
     
  18. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    As long as I get decent enough odds (7/2, 4/1-ish) I'll be playing the LET pattern with the #5 horse in race 2.
     
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  19. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    LET comes through at 9/2.
     
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  20. Sharkey

    Sharkey Who finishes 2nd?

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    Oh shit, an objection. Don't bring me down please.
     
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