Bellator 207 & 208

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by piglord, Oct 7, 2018.

  1. Captain Crunch28

    Captain Crunch28 Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 5, 2016
    Messages:
    889
    Likes Received:
    433
    He ain’t fighting fri
     
  2. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    PolarBearPaulVarelans Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 14, 2018
    Messages:
    713
    Likes Received:
    916
    Heh, I came into this topic to mention that Nallo versus Carrington Banks at +140 on 5Dimes almost made me fall off my chair when I saw it.

    But not because of Nallo being so good (although he is certainly promising and impressed me in the 3 fights of his I've seen), but because of how freaking terrible Banks is. I don't know how anyone saw his performance against Adam Piccolotti and thought he should be a -170 against anyone with BJJ or even a hint of stand-up.
     
    LiquidNuke likes this.
  3. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 5, 2014
    Messages:
    5,374
    Likes Received:
    5,773
    Location:
    Sewers
    limited footage on nallo, but going on second hand information i believe i got a great line at +200.
     
  4. LiquidNuke

    LiquidNuke Orange Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 13, 2018
    Messages:
    252
    Likes Received:
    155
    I like it. Be tailing you on Nallo for a $100. I managed to get him at +150.
     
    PolarBearPaulVarelans likes this.
  5. burge13

    burge13 Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 2, 2015
    Messages:
    661
    Likes Received:
    450
    I know nothing of Nallo tbh but tailed at +190.

    Pretty big on Bader -250, stab on Sergei, small on Schlemenko & waiting for total rounds props here. Taking the over on Bader if -110ish which is where i think it'll be if we get it
     
  6. LiquidNuke

    LiquidNuke Orange Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 13, 2018
    Messages:
    252
    Likes Received:
    155
    What's your logic in the Sergei and Schlemenko bouts? Curious because I'm looking to make some more bets on this card myself and if you've already done any kind of research I'm all ears.
     
  7. burge13

    burge13 Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Apr 2, 2015
    Messages:
    661
    Likes Received:
    450
    I don't watch tape, I go off memory more often than not. I just think the odds are wider than they should be...

    Only really confident in Bader and the over if we get it, the other 2 are entertainment bets for 0.5u
     
  8. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 5, 2014
    Messages:
    5,374
    Likes Received:
    5,773
    Location:
    Sewers
    my action so far:

    inoue ko, bader £200 returns £393

    nallo £195 returns £579

    tokov £100 returns £195

    johnson £100 returns £190 (wish i got that + money)
     
  9. LiquidNuke

    LiquidNuke Orange Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 13, 2018
    Messages:
    252
    Likes Received:
    155
    Mind if I ask your thoughts on the last two guys? Love to tail even though I haven't done exhaustive tape on anyone on this card except for the limited available footage of Nallo. Betting against Kongo makes me nervous, lol.
     
  10. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 5, 2014
    Messages:
    5,374
    Likes Received:
    5,773
    Location:
    Sewers
    if anyone is interested bader by decision is +200 with my homies ohmbet.
     
  11. SalvadorAllende

    SalvadorAllende Paper belt

    Joined:
    Feb 2, 2013
    Messages:
    14,710
    Likes Received:
    11,141
    Location:
    Buenos Aires, Argentina
    I took Tokov as a dog. Shlemenko is on a decline. I think he is about that point where he is going to age overnight.

    Also Im the only one ITT on Mitrione it seems... fuck it, I love him at +200something. I think he can totally sleep Bader.

    Keeping myself away from Fedor/Chael. They are like a hundred years old combined and both guys are inconsistent.
     
    Ryan Kelly and LiquidNuke like this.
  12. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 5, 2014
    Messages:
    5,374
    Likes Received:
    5,773
    Location:
    Sewers
    yeah dude just sent you a dm
     
    LiquidNuke likes this.
  13. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 5, 2014
    Messages:
    5,374
    Likes Received:
    5,773
    Location:
    Sewers
    not sure what country you're from but i have mitrione ko at +270, i might use it to hedge a little as it's hard to see him winning a decision.
     
  14. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2013
    Messages:
    12,359
    Likes Received:
    7,372
    I'm on Mitrione, just wish I didn't bet weeks ago at +195.
     
    SalvadorAllende and zeckdo like this.
  15. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

    Joined:
    Sep 5, 2014
    Messages:
    5,374
    Likes Received:
    5,773
    Location:
    Sewers
  16. Ryan Kelly

    Ryan Kelly Orange Belt

    Joined:
    Oct 17, 2017
    Messages:
    284
    Likes Received:
    253
    Also on Mitrione at +250. If the consensus here causes some doubt, watch Bader v Johnson for a confidence increase lol
     
  17. Sadistics

    Sadistics Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 22, 2015
    Messages:
    1,537
    Likes Received:
    3,424
    Mitrione ML is +280 at BOL
     
    piglord likes this.
  18. mkess101

    mkess101 World Series or bust...

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2007
    Messages:
    24,968
    Likes Received:
    10,092
    Rumble has a wrestling background and has showed some semblance of TDD (at least before he gasses). Matt just has never shown any ability at all to stay off his back vs anyone with any sort of wrestling ability (that I can remember anyway).
     
  19. PolarBearPaulVarelans

    PolarBearPaulVarelans Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Jul 14, 2018
    Messages:
    713
    Likes Received:
    916
    I'm still mulling over the fight and whether I want to place any bet on it (probably won't), but this is a terrible comparison. Johnson had fairly good wrestling (was even a junior college national champion) and was very tough to take down, in addition to being massively faster, more technical, and even harder hitting than Meathead. There is nothing that Rumble did against Bader that Mitrione is capable of replicating.
     
    Sadistics and raketmannen like this.
  20. Monster Meat

    Monster Meat Green Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 7, 2016
    Messages:
    1,428
    Likes Received:
    756
    Bader is going to dominate mitroine. Yes mitrione has a punchers chance but he won’t stop the takedown and has a terribly low fight iq. He will get controlled on the ground and I think Bader stops him with ground and pound.
     
    piglord likes this.

Share This Page